Crude oil prices are determined by worldwide supply and demand. Events in crude oil markets that caused spikes in crude oil prices were a major factor in all but one of the five major run-ups in gasoline prices between 1992 and 1997, according to the National Petroleum Council study U.S. Petroleum Supply – Inventory Dynamics. Rapid gasoline price increases occurred in response to crude oil shortages caused by the Arab oil embargo in 1973, the Iranian revolution in 1978, the Iran/Iraq war in 1980, and the Persian Gulf conflict in 1990. The cost of crude oil has been the main contributor to recent increases in gasoline prices. World crude oil prices reached record levels in 2007 due mainly to high worldwide oil demand relative to supply.

Other factors contributing to higher crude oil prices include political events and conflicts in some major oil producing regions, as well as other factors such as the declining value of the U.S. dollar (the currency at which crude oil is traded globally).

Continue Reading

What Are Residential Customers Paying For in Their Natural Gas Bills?

The price of natural gas has two main parts (all cost estimates include a number of taxes):Transmission and distribution costs – to move the natural gas by pipeline from where it is produced to the customers local gas company, and to bring the natural gas from the local gas company to your house.Commodity costs – the cost of the natural gas itself.In the past five winters (2002-2003 through last winter) the cost of natural gas at the wellhead (commodity cost) has constituted more than 50 percent of the residential price,and this trend is expected to continue through the next winter (Figure 1). This relative cost pattern differs from earlier years in which the commodity cost was consistently below 50 percent. The large commodity cost share has resulted from unusually high prices for natural gas during these winters. The high prices were driven by market conditions that included weak natural gas production despite increased drilling levels, colder-than-normal weather for long periods during some heating seasons, production disruptions from hurricane activity in the Gulf of Mexico, fluctuating net import levels, and record high crude oil prices.

Continue Reading